29 Jul · 11:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Miklukha
ELO 1433
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Miklukha
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1423
FormLWLWL
51%
49%
🌟Miklukha goes over total as favourite 63% (38)
Fair odds · Miklukha
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H1-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.