29 Jul · 09:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1520
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tebenko
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1540
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Tebenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (56)
Fair odds · Tebenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H18-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.