29 Jul · 06:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1520
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Maltsev
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1585
FormWWLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)