29 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1453
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Miroshnychenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1473
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Miroshnychenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H35-58
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.