29 Jul · 06:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
HO
🇺🇦Hryhoriy Oliynyk
ELO 1473
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kryvoshyi
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kryvoshyi
ELO 1516
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
🌟Kryvoshyi stays under total as favourite 74% (27)
Fair odds · Kryvoshyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~72 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H15-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.