29 Jul · 11:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1542
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kovalchuk
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1540
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Tebenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (110)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H29-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.