29 Jul · 10:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1561
FormLLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Rodin
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1673
FormWLLLL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Rodin
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)