29 Jul · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1515
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Prylepa
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1473
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
🌟Prylepa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (105)
Fair odds · Prylepa
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H50-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.