29 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1534
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Veigl
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1523
FormWWLWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Makara🌟Makara covers set handicap as underdog 67% (139)
Fair odds · Veigl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H24-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.