29 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1534
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rulc
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1585
FormLLWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Veigl🌟Veigl covers set handicap as underdog 74% (43)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H19-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-16)