29 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1475
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kovalenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Khairov
ELO 1470
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kovalenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.