29 Jul · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1482
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1547
FormLWLWW
43%
57%
🌟Solomko stays under total as favourite 64% (86)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H15-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-6)