29 Jul · 11:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1488
FormLLLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Yurkov
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1650
FormLWLLW
33%
67%
🌟Yurkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (128)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H48-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-29)