29 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VA
🇺🇦Vitalii Ananiev
ELO 1372
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ananiev
RB
🇺🇦Roman Boklah
ELO 1363
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Ananiev
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H30-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.