29 Jul · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1518
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Varlamov
MD
🇺🇦Maksym Deineha
ELO 1469
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Varlamov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (38)
Fair odds · Varlamov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)