30 Jul · 01:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇺🇦Mykhailo Makienko
ELO 1510
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Plakushchyi
PP
🇺🇦Pavel Plakushchyi
ELO 1526
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Plakushchyi stays under total as favourite 69% (36)
Fair odds · Plakushchyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.