30 Jul · 13:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1439
FormLLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1551
FormWLWWL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H36-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-24)