30 Jul · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VI
🇺🇦Viktor Ivanytskyi
ELO 1482
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ivanytskyi
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1446
FormWLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Ivanytskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.