30 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1551
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1551
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H18-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.