30 Jul · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1467
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ivanytskyi
VI
🇺🇦Viktor Ivanytskyi
ELO 1482
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Ivanytskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.