30 Jul · 12:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1467
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Treschetka
DB
🇺🇦Dmitriy Belanchik
ELO 1425
FormLLLWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Belanchik🌟Belanchik stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)