30 Jul · 07:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1467
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Treschetka
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1446
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Maksymkiv🌟Treschetka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (40)
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H48-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.