30 Jul · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1543
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kurylenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1464
FormWLLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H76-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (76-41)