30 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1464
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1551
FormWLWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H24-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-22)