30 Jul · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇺🇦Dmitriy Belanchik
ELO 1425
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ivanytskyi
VI
🇺🇦Viktor Ivanytskyi
ELO 1482
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Belanchik stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Ivanytskyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)