30 Jul · 08:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VI
🇺🇦Viktor Ivanytskyi
ELO 1482
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ivanytskyi
DK
🇺🇦Danylo Kasian
ELO 1480
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Ivanytskyi
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.