30 Jul · 10:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1467
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Treschetka
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1463
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Treschetka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (40)
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H36-69
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.