30 Jul · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DB
🇺🇦Dmitriy Belanchik
ELO 1425
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Maslovskyi
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1463
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Belanchik stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Maslovskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.