30 Jul · 07:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1463
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ivanytskyi
VI
🇺🇦Viktor Ivanytskyi
ELO 1482
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Ivanytskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.