30 Jul · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1551
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Syksa
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1464
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H71-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (71-31)