30 Jul · 06:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1440
FormLLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1551
FormWLWWL
38%
62%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 64% (109)
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H24-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-23)