30 Jul · 06:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1616
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Konkulovskyi
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1613
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Konkulovskyi
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H34-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.