30 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1440
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kuzmenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1464
FormWLLWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ziakun🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 64% (109)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H45-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.