30 Jul · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1452
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mytsyk
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1432
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (124)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H21-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.