30 Jul · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1482
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Simchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viacheslav Simchuk
ELO 1548
FormLLLWL
43%
57%
🌟Simchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (58)
Fair odds · Simchuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H69-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (69-26)