30 Jul · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇺🇦Jan Blazek
ELO 1406
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Melisek
MM
🇺🇦Marian Melisek
ELO 1484
FormLWWWW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Blazek🌟Blazek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (58)
Fair odds · Melisek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H16-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)