30 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇺🇦Jan Vrnak
ELO 1391
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vrnak
AA
🇺🇦Artur Akopyan
ELO 1374
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Vrnak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H15-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.