30 Jul · 11:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1452
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1471
FormLLWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H1-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.