30 Jul · 10:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bondarchuk
ELO 1627
FormWWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Bondarchuk
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Shkurupii
ELO 1481
FormWWLWL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Bondarchuk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+146
H2H36-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-28)