30 Jul · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1491
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Veigl
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1551
FormWWWLL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mezera🌟Mezera covers set handicap as underdog 68% (116)
Fair odds · Veigl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)