30 Jul · 11:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AR
🇺🇦Adam Radkovsky
ELO 1627
FormWWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kolman
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1631
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Radkovsky stays under total as underdog 64% (28)
Fair odds · Kolman
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H6-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.