30 Jul · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1473
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kurliuk
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1450
FormLLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Kurliuk stays under total as favourite 76% (34)
Fair odds · Kurliuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H13-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.