30 Jul · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1515
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vyskocil
MV
🇺🇦Marek Vyskocil
ELO 1579
FormWLWWL
43%
57%
🌟Makara covers set handicap as underdog 67% (144)
Fair odds · Vyskocil
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)