30 Jul · 09:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1455
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Shkurupii
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Shkurupii
ELO 1481
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Shkurupii rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (51)
Fair odds · Shkurupii
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H120-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.