30 Jul · 11:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1640
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chaikovskyi
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1601
FormWWWWW
54%
46%
🌟Romanenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (80)
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H33-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.