30 Jul · 12:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1455
FormLLWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Bondarchuk
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bondarchuk
ELO 1627
FormWWWWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Bondarchuk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~72 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+172
H2H57-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (57-30)