30 Jul · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1491
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vyskocil
MV
🇺🇦Marek Vyskocil
ELO 1579
FormWLWWL
41%
59%
🌟Mezera covers set handicap as underdog 68% (116)
Fair odds · Vyskocil
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H35-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-25)