30 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1482
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zvolynskyi
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1473
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Kurliuk stays under total as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Zvolynskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H3-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.