30 Jul · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ivchuk
ELO 1694
FormLWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Ivchuk
IH
🇺🇦Illia Hermakivskyi
ELO 1531
FormLLLLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Ivchuk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)