30 Jul · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1473
FormWWWLL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Kurliuk
VH
🇺🇦Viktor Hyriavyi
ELO 1186
FormLLLWL
77%
23%
🌟Kurliuk stays under total as favourite 76% (34)
Fair odds · Kurliuk
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~73 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
18%
2-3
9%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+287
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+287)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)